A cheaper house payment for oceans of debt

Graphic by Naomi Brown

The average age for new homeowners in 2025 is 40 years, while life expectancy in the United States hovers at 78 years. You do not need to be a mathematician to figure out the Trump administration’s 50-year mortgage plan is wishful thinking.

Despite being “laser focused on ensuring the American Dream for YOUNG PEOPLE,” according to Federal Housing Finance Agency director Bill Pulte, current leadership is missing the mark entirely to address this generation’s concern with homeownership.

The benefits of a fixed rate for half a century disappear rather quickly if homeowners die thirty years in, still drowning in an ocean of debt. To spell it out, the issue is not just the ability to buy a home — it’s actually owning one debt-free and enjoying living there. 

That American dream is all but extinguished with the rapid rise of home prices while income stays stagnant. In a journal released by the Joint Center for Housing Resources, the housing prices in Boise for 2024 were a whopping 5.8 times more than the median income.

“I’m just so discouraged,” said Adam Taylor, a junior. “You see these market prices go higher and higher just as you’re getting out of college. It’s like we got the short end of the stick.”

In a way, he’s right. When you compare the median household income and house prices in the past 45 years, there’s a significant increase. The income-to-price ratio in the 1980s hovered around 3.2, even dipping below three in the latter half of the decade, setting the older generations up to reap the rewards.

The average zoomer does not have that luxury. 

“I mean, I could just rent for the rest of my life,” Taylor said, “But I’d rather have at least a chance to own a home and not be in debt for too long.”

That fate may be unavoidable as the median age for repeat buyers steadily climbs with each passing year. In a report from The National Association of Realtors, over a third of repeat buyers were aged 65 or older, meaning the equity built on the cheap homes allows them to purchase another home to start gaining equity on that one, too. This effectively ices younger generations out of the market in the first place.

It’s difficult to gain that kind of equity on a 50-year mortgage if you jump into one at the ripe age of 29 (the median age for first-time buyers in 1980).

One Boise-area real estate agent sees these concerns every day. Cameron Kinzer, director of government affairs at Boise Regional Realtors, believes the proposal is unlikely to fix the housing market.

“A fifty-year mortgage does very little to improve real affordability. It does not make the home itself less expensive.” Kinzer said. “I do not believe this idea will make a meaningful difference for young buyers and it remains to be seen if it ever becomes a reality.”

According to Kinzer, the proposed plan will reduce the monthly cost by spreading the principal and interest rates throughout the term. This makes entering the housing market easier but at a significantly higher cost by adding 20 years to the loan, compounding interest at an exponential rate. 

If potential buyers are looking to stay in debt indefinitely, then a 50-year mortgage is right up their alley. Lowering monthly payments seems insignificant when the total cost balloons far beyond what early-career earners can justify — that crushing reality undermines what future homeowners like sophomore Emma Olson were told for years.

“That’s the whole point, right?” said Olson. “You go to college and get a job to get a house, but being locked into something for 50 years is kind of scary in a way.”

In short, this plan wears a mask of progress but will do little to actually move the needle of debt-free ownership. It ignores the core crisis of home prices continuing to soar while wages do not, casting a shadow of debt over every financial milestone Gen Z tries to reach.

“Well, a ton of students already have student loans, so we’re already in debt that way,” Olson continued. “There isn’t really an incentive to get into more debt when you already have that to think about.”

The government is clearly not looking out for the generations looking to inherit it. If the Trump administration — or any other administration that follows — wants to win over the younger generation, the focus cannot be short-term affordability. It must be on policies that actually reduce the lifetime cost of owning a home, not just the monthly bill.

A dream should not take half a lifetime to finance and if it does, it stops being a dream at all. It becomes another reminder that the finish line keeps moving farther away, leaving younger generations stuck playing catch-up.

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